Sunday, December 09, 2012

The $17 million roll of the dice

Doesn't look like Parx is getting any of Temple's business this time.

If your boss gave you $17 million to invest in some solid stock futures, would you instead hop in the car and drive up Route 1 to Parx Casino and throw it all on a crap table?
I didn't think so, but that's essentially what Temple's Board of Trustees gave Temple athletic direction Bill Bradshaw the day after Steve Addazio quit.
Edberg-Olson Hall is worth $17 million ($7 million in 2001, an additional $10 million this year) and, if Temple gave the head coaching job to an assistant coach who never held the clipboard as a head coach in battle before, that's a pretty expensive roll of the dice.
That assistant could become a Temple head coach and stay five years and go 3-9 each year or worse or go 9-3 or better.
You don't know. I don't know. Nobody knows.
If it is the lower number, the E-O might as well be padlocked after five years because nobody will come to watch the Owls play and $17 million will be essentially wasted.
These are just the candidates mentioned in the media.

A current head coach, though, with a head-coaching record of excellence, is like a solid stock future. There's no better predictor of future success than past success.
Loyal TFF reader Steve Sipe sent me five spreadsheets of data analyzing the possible candidates and I've published his experience chart here. To me, that's the most important qualification for Temple right now.
Fortunately, there's no indication Bradshaw is considering getting in the car and heading up to Parx any time soon.
In fact, the quotes by Bradshaw in this morning's Inquirer are downright encouraging. Without saying he's ruling out hiring a current assistant, it certainly looks like he's leaning that way.
On whether or not he's leaning toward hiring an assistant, like Addazio and Al Golden were:
"Some people will say you are going to get another Al Golden, another Steve," Bradshaw said. "I will say this is a different need, a different time in place."
 And ....
 "I have not restricted [the job] to that," Bradshaw said of hiring someone with prior head-coaching experience. "But somebody as a head coach, who's been successful as a head coach and recruiting has an advantage. No question."
Whew.
Players have walked off the Who Wants to Be A Millionaire TV show with a lot less money at stake than $17 million.
When it comes to the question of hiring an assistant coach, I think I'll walk, Meredith.
Looks like Temple will, too.
Based on Steve Sipe's analysis, Mike MacIntyre should be next TU coach. (Couldn't fit the recruiting areas part in there, but it is weighted on the left.)

Tomorrow: The Harold Stassen of Temple head coaching candidates

5 comments:

Kent Duke said...

why no mention of Heater? didn't he interview?

Temple Football Forever said...

I think they gave Chuck the courtesy of an interview because he's holding the recruiting class together. He's poisoned by his association with Fraudazio and I don't think he's a serious candidate. Despite the politically correct statement by Bradshaw, the BOT is furious with Daz for leaving after 2 years.
I'm happy that Daz left.

Kent Duke said...

Has Bradshaw been watching the events at Louisville and Cincinnati over the last five years? Those two schools, more so than any other two in the entire nation, closely resemble the environment surrounding Temple Football now, and where we should be five years from now. Put their model for success on the wall, establish corresponding Temple success criteria and let's get after it!!! They have proven it is not all that hard, and more importantly - IT CAN BE DONE WITH UNIVERSITY COMMITMENT($$) AND GREAT HEAD COACHING!!!

Philly TU Grad said...

Mike, do you think Heater not jumping with Addazio right away may also hint that he may not have been totally a Daz guy. You are probably right about the interview being a courtesy but I would also say if Heator comes across as a good candidate then he should be considered. There is something to be said for having some continuity.

Temple Football Forever said...

I still think Chuck is ONE of the best DC's in the country. I'm sure he wanted Kevin Newsome on defense but Daz preferred KN as a 3d-team QB. What a freakin' waste.
Does Chuck's DC rating affect his HC rating?
Hell no.
Head coach is a very specific position.
I would not game that spot on Bob Diaco, the ND DC, and I would not gamble that spot on Chuck.
I LOVE the fact that Chuck wants to stay at Temple. I just hope Mike MacIntyre, Dave Clawson or Mario C. know Chuck enough well enough to keep him as DC.
Kent,
You are so right.
We need to make a splash here.
Chuck's not a splash.
Neither is Rhule.
MacIntryre, Clawson and Mario are splashes.
Everybody in the pool!